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TUTOR PERINI CORP (TPC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong Q3: revenue $1.415B (+31% Y/Y), GAAP EPS $0.07, Adjusted EPS $1.15; record operating cash flow $289.1M; backlog a record $21.6B (+54% Y/Y); 2025 Adjusted EPS guidance raised to $4.00–$4.20 .
  • Beat vs consensus: Adjusted EPS of $1.15 vs $0.60*; revenue $1.415B vs $1.384B*; EPS beat driven by higher-margin project mix and segment profitability; revenue slight beat on strong Civil and Specialty execution (see Estimates Context) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Mix and margins improved: Civil operating margin 12.9% (above historical range), Building at 3.4%, Specialty back to profitability with 2.7% margin, aided by fewer dispute-related adjustments and ramping contributions from large projects .
  • Cash and balance sheet: interest expense down 36% Y/Y to $14M on debt reduction; cash now exceeds total debt by $283M, positioning TPC to consider dividends/buybacks once cash reaches target; board to discuss capital allocation imminently .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record cash generation and net cash position: “operating cash flow was extraordinarily strong…$289 million” in Q3; cash exceeded total debt by $283M; interest expense down 36% Y/Y to $14M .
    • Segment execution inflecting: Civil delivered 12.9% operating margin; Specialty turned profitable ahead of expectations; Building profitable with 3.4% margin; drivers were newer, larger, higher‑margin projects .
    • Backlog and pipeline: record $21.6B backlog (+$2.0B net awards in Q3); book-to-burn 1.4x; marquee wins include ~ $1B UCSF Benioff Children’s Hospital and $182M Guam defense project; pipeline >$25B over 12–18 months .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Elevated share-based comp and taxes muted GAAP EPS: Q3 included a $58.7M share-based comp expense; G&A up; effective tax rate 44.6% as most of the higher comp is non-deductible, pressuring GAAP EPS to $0.07 despite strong operations .
    • Building revenue dipped slightly Y/Y; management expects backlog growth to be “flattish” near term (more lumpiness vs sequential records), tempering immediate upside optics despite strong levels .
    • Mobilization benefits mostly realized: management expects strong cash to continue, but notes the exceptional Q3 cash is unlikely to repeat immediately as mobilization payments largely occurred .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.083 $1.247 $1.374 $1.415
GAAP EPS ($)$(1.92) $0.53 $0.38 $0.07
Adjusted EPS ($)$(1.61) $1.41 $1.15
Income from Construction Operations ($USD Millions)$(106.8) $65.3 $76.4 $40.1
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$22.6 $22.9 $262.4 $289.1

Segment performance (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024):

  • Revenue and construction ops income by segment
SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($M)Q3 2025 Revenue ($M)Q3 2024 Income from Construction Ops ($M)Q3 2025 Income from Construction Ops ($M)
Civil545.9 770.2 (12.5) 99.2
Building435.7 418.7 (3.9) 14.4
Specialty Contractors101.2 226.5 (56.9) 6.2

Operating margins (Q3 2025):

  • Civil 12.9%; Building 3.4%; Specialty 2.7%

Backlog and awards:

  • Backlog at quarter-end: $21.641B; New awards in quarter: $1.973B .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EPSFY 2025$3.65–$3.95 $4.00–$4.20 Raised
GAAP EPSFY 2025$1.70–$2.00 Not providing GAAP EPS guidance due to share-based comp volatility Withdrawn
G&A ExpenseFY 2025$410–$420M New/updated (higher due to share-based comp)
Depreciation & AmortizationFY 2025~$50M (Deprec ~$48M, Amort ~$2M) New
Interest ExpenseFY 2025~ $55M (incl. ~$5M non-cash) Maintained (per mgmt)
Effective Tax RateFY 2025~30%–32% (higher vs prior assumption) Raised
Non-controlling InterestFY 2025$75–$85M Maintained (reiterated)
Diluted SharesFY 2025~53M Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$170–$180M; $120–$130M owner‑funded TBMs Updated detail

Note: “Previous Guidance” dashes reflect items not quantified in prior public releases we reviewed.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Backlog & pipelineRecord backlog: $19.4B (Q1), $21.1B (Q2); confidence in 2026–27 ramp Record $21.6B; $2.0B awards in Q3; >$25B bid pipeline incl. Sepulveda Transit, Penn Station; book-to-burn 1.4x Up but near-term “flattish” after sequential records
Segment marginsCivil/Building profitability improving; Specialty negative in H1 Civil 12.9%; Building 3.4%; Specialty 2.7% (back to profitability earlier than expected) Improving
Cash flow & balance sheetQ2 OCF $262.4M; cash > debt by $107M (first time since 2010) Q3 OCF $289.1M; cash exceeds debt by $283M; CIE lowest since 2017 Strong; normalization after mobilization
Share-based comp impactQ2 comp spiked with share price; introduced adjusted metrics Q3 comp +$58.7M Y/Y; GAAP ETR 44.6%; 2025 ETR 30–32% due to non-deductible comp Headwind in 2025; easing in 2026–27
Funding/tariffs riskNo significant tariff/funding impact anticipated Reiterated: no expected impact from tariffs, budget cuts, or shutdown; projects funded Stable
Specialty outlookLosses in 2024; improving activity in 2025 H1 Turned profitable; revenue/margins to increase as NY megaprojects ramp Positive inflection
Capital allocationNo explicit action; leverage improving Dividend/buyback under consideration as cash builds; board to discuss next week Emerging catalyst

Management Commentary

  • “Our operating cash flow was extraordinarily strong for the quarter at $289 million…$574 million through the first nine months of 2025, setting new records for both respective periods.”
  • “The Civil segment continues to perform at record levels…Specialty Contractor segment returned to profitability this quarter ahead of expectations.”
  • “We are raising our guidance for the third consecutive quarter…Adjusted EPS for 2025 is now expected to be in the range of $4–$4.20.”
  • “We still do not anticipate that tariffs will have a significant impact…our projects are funded and authorized.”
  • On capital allocation: “We plan to continue building our cash position until…we can comfortably initiate…a recurring dividend and/or a share repurchase program.”
  • On bidding activity and capacity: “We’re not going to overextend ourselves…We feel really good about where we’re staffed.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Specialty Contractors inflection: Mgmt attributed profitability to clean execution with little dispute “noise” and expects revenue and margins to trend up as large NY projects ramp, implying 5–8% margins are achievable over time .
  • Backlog/awards cadence: After consecutive record quarters, near-term backlog growth likely “flattish” and lumpy, though still at very high levels; pipeline robust across NY, CA, Midwest, Indo‑Pacific .
  • Building margin trajectory: Mix increasingly higher‑margin fixed‑price/complex work; meaningful improvement expected by mid‑2026, further in 2027 .
  • Cash flow sustainability: Most mobilization payments have occurred; cash to remain strong, though Q3’s $289M is unlikely to repeat immediately .
  • Capital returns: Board to discuss cash levels and potential dividends/buybacks; management remains conservative to ensure ample liquidity as projects ramp .

Estimates Context

Quarterly consensus vs. actuals (S&P Global):

  • EPS (Primary): $0.60* consensus vs $1.15 actual (Adjusted EPS) — significant beat; 3 estimates . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Revenue: $1.384B* consensus vs $1.415B actual — slight beat; 3 estimates . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
MetricQ3 2025 Consensus*Q3 2025 Actual
EPS ($)0.60*1.15
Revenue ($B)1.384*1.415
# of Estimates3*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Street likely raises out-year estimates as Civil/Building margins and Specialty profitability trend ahead of prior expectations; GAAP EPS optics remain noisy due to share-based comp and non-deductibility, but core operating trajectory is stronger than modeled .

KPIs and Balance Sheet Trends

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Backlog ($B)19.393 21.083 21.641
New Awards ($B)1.966 3.064 1.973
CIE ($B)0.948 0.856 0.848
Total Debt ($M)~405.6 (LT 391.8 + ST 13.8) ~419.4 (LT 393.3 + ST 26.1) ~413.1 (LT 393.0 + ST 20.1)
Cash > Debt ($M)107 283
Interest Expense ($M, quarterly)14.4 13.6 13.5
Diluted Shares (MM)53.010 53.194 53.664

Guidance Changes – Additional Detail and Rationale

  • 2025 Adjusted EPS raised to $4.00–$4.20 on stronger-than-expected execution and margin realization; 2026–27 expected “significantly higher” than 2025 upper end .
  • 2025 ETR increased to ~30–32% due to non-deductible share-based comp (a GAAP headwind), while Civil margins remain above historical (13–15% full-year expectation) .
  • Capex lifted to $170–$180M, largely owner-funded TBMs, reflecting ramping megaproject activity .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core operations accelerating: multi-segment profitability, record cash generation, and record backlog underpin a multi‑year earnings and cash flow upcycle into 2026–27 .
  • Quality of backlog improving: mix skews to larger, higher‑margin projects with limited competition; Civil margins above historical range signal durable profitability .
  • Specialty inflection is real: earlier‑than‑expected profitability with visibility to higher revenue/margins as NY projects ramp — a key upside delta vs prior models .
  • Estimates likely move up: material EPS beat on an adjusted basis and reiterated strength should drive upward revisions; GAAP optics remain noisy due to share-based comp and taxes .
  • Capital returns emerging: net cash position growing; management actively evaluating dividend/buybacks once target cash reached — potential catalyst over the next board cycles .
  • Near-term cadence: awards/backlog growth may be “flattish” after consecutive records; expect lumpiness, but at elevated levels; cash remains strong though Q3’s record unlikely to repeat immediately .
  • Risk watch: share-based comp volatility and non-deductibility impact GAAP EPS/ETR; continued disciplined bidding and JV execution are essential as megaproject exposure rises .